Minutes, April 6, 2023

Plan Commission Minutes

Town of Washburn

Town Hall

Thursday, April 6, 2023

Members present: Kim Bro (chair), Cyndi Belanger (secretary), Tim Schwenzfeier (vice chair), Hallie Sandberg.

Members absent: Jim Park (town board representative).

Others present: None.

  1. Chairman Bro called the meeting of the commission to order at 7:10 P.M. and verified its legal notification (posted at town hall and Tetzner Dairy) on April 5, 2023 and on town website.

  2. The minutes of the March 7, 2023 meeting were approved (Cyndi moves, Tim seconds).

  3. The commission reviewed the state Department of Administration’s population, household, and age structure projections for 2010 to 2040 and compared them to those used in preparing the town’s comprehensive plan in 2007 (see table below). Population growth in the town is considerably less than was previously projected, but the growth in the number of households is in line with the previous projection. As a result, there has been expanded construction of new homes, but the average number of people in a household has decreased. The town’s population is projected to decrease in the future, and the number of households in the town is projected to peak in 2030 and then slowly decline. While the town’s total population is projected to decline by 11% from 2020 to 2040, the number of residents older than 64 years is projected to increase by 25%. Tim affirmed that the demand for new home construction is still strong at this time. If the population of elderly residents is expected to increase, where in the town should new homes be located? The current comprehensive plan calls for new rural residential uses to be in the eastern portion of town near existing town roads. These areas are more readily accessible to fire and ambulance services and are closer to existing transportation corridors.
  4. The commission then considered the county’s request to prepare a preliminary draft of an updated map of future land use for the county comprehensive plan that currently is being updated. The town’s map officially will be updated when the town updates its comprehensive plan. The county is requesting that the town’s future land use map use categories that are consistent with those in the new county plan. The county also is asking towns to recommend minimum parcel sizes for each of the land use categories in the map.
  5. The commission discussed what the difference in minimum parcel sizes for forestry and agricultural lands compared to rural residential lands. There was general agreement that 5-acre parcels are not well suited for agricultural and forest management. Kim suggested that the commission review that zoning standards required for lands qualified for state Farmland Preservation credits. The state requires a minimum area of 20 contiguous acres in order to qualify for the state tax credit. A non-farm residence can be created on an agricultural parcel, but non-farm land uses cannot exceed 5% of the parcel. Overall, a block covering 80% of the parcel must be available for agricultural use. Kim said the concept of consolidating residential development on agricultural and forest lands to smaller areas more suited for such development is called “performance zoning.” He will send the commission an examples of a Farmland Preservation Zoning Ordinance.
  6. The commission selected Tuesday, May 2, 2023 7:00 P.M. for the next meeting at the town hall.

  7. The meeting adjourned at 8:20 P.M. (Hallie moves, Cyndi seconds).

Population/Household Projections

Source: Demographic Services Center, WI Dept. of Administration

2013

Population

Place Type and Name

% Change
2010-2040

2010
Census

2015 Estimate

2020 Census

2025 Projection

2030 Projection

2035 Projection

2040 Projection

Bayfield County

-8.6%

15,014

15,185

16,220

15,100

14,860

14,330

13,725

C Washburn

-26.3%

2,117

2,084

2,051

1,920

1,820

1,690

1,560

T Washburn

-6.6%

530

542

554

540

535

515

495

Annual Change: Town

2.3%

2.2%

-2.5%

-0.9%

-3.7%

-3.9%

T Washburn (2004 project’n)

592

614

631

640

Households

Place Type & Name

% Change
2010-2040

2010 Census

2015 Estimate

2020 Census

2025 Projection

2030 Projection

2035 Projection

2040 Projection

Bayfield County

4.9%

6,686

7,128

7,207

7,367

7,384

7,232

7,016

C Washburn

-19.8%

934

965

939

919

878

817

749

T Washburn

8.6%

222

238

243

249

252

247

241

Annual Change: Town

7.2%

2.1%

2.5%

1.2%

-2.0%

-2.4%

T Washburn (2004 project’n)

215

228

237

240

Household Population

% Change
2010-2040

2010
Census

2015 Estimate

2020 Census

2025 Projection

2030 Projection

2035 Projection

2040 Projection

Bayfield County

-9.2%

14,888

15,231

14,971

14,955

14,696

14,145

13,515

C Washburn

-31.0%

2,009

1,990

1,881

1,798

1,682

1,536

1,386

T Washburn

-6.6%

530

545

540

540

535

515

495

Annual Change: Town

2.8%

-0.9%

0.0%

-0.9%

-3.7%

-3.9%

Persons Per Household

% Change
2010-2040

2010 Census

2015 Estimate

2020 Census

2025 Projection

2030 Projection

2035 Projection

2040 Projection

Bayfield County

-12.5%

2.24

2.14

2.09

2.05

2.02

1.99

1.96

C Washburn

-14.0%

2.15

2.06

2.00

1.96

1.92

1.88

1.85

T Washburn

-14.0%

2.39

2.29

2.22

2.17

2.12

2.09

2.05

Annual Change: Town

-4.1%

-3.0%

-2.4%

-2.1%

-1.8%

-1.5%

Age Distribution

% Change
2010-2040

2010
Census

2015 Project’n

2020 Project’n

2025 Project’n

2030 Project’n

2035 Project’n

2040 Project’n

All Ages

-9.2%

14,888

15,231

14,971

14,955

14,696

14,145

13,515

0-14

-33.2%

2,290

2,085

1,970

1,885

1,795

1,670

1,530

15-24

-30.9%

1,293

1,296

1,139

1,081

1,041

977

894

25-34

-31.5%

1,236

1,161

1,067

1,097

999

911

847

35-44

-31.6%

1,580

1,309

1,373

1,334

1,239

1,229

1,080

45-54

-49.1%

2,629

2,224

1,700

1,466

1,566

1,496

1,337

55-64

-27.6%

2,804

3,360

3,071

2,532

2,059

1,815

2,029

65-74

26.3%

1,858

2,468

2,995

3,402

3,222

2,755

2,347

75-84

178.6%

888

1,030

1,318

1,754

2,220

2,555

2,474

85 & over

215.2%

310

298

338

404

555

737

977

Historical Trend: Population

% Change
1970-2022

1970
Census

1980
Census

1990
Census

2000
Census

2010
Census

2020
Census

2022
Estimate

Bayfield County

38.6%

11,683

13,822

14,008

15,013

15,014

16,220

16,194

C Washburn

2.4%

1,957

2,080

2,285

2,280

2,117

2,051

2,004

T Washburn

96.8%

282

386

490

541

530

554

555

Annual Change: Town

36.9%

26.9%

10.4%

-2.0%

4.5%

0.2%